DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits: 60 percent of bets, 76 percent of money on Rams +3
Oddsmaker insight (Wed.): “Opened 51.5 and -3 and we’re still there. We did go to -3.5 for an hour and came right back. It’s a juiced 3. It’s the late Sunday game and we have a sportsbook in Michigan, so typically we get a lot of Lions action. I think sharps like the Rams and people outside of Michigan also like the Rams. We definitely won’t want this to go over.”

Pick: Rams +3.5

“The scene is set for a classic revenge game for Matthew Stafford at Detroit. The Rams offense is again elite, ranking seventh in offensive DVOA after finishing 25th last season. Over the second half of the season, the Rams actually ranked third best in offensive DVOA, trailing only San Francisco and Green Bay.

“Los Angeles has also been superb since its bye week, winning seven of eight games. The Rams’ only loss was in overtime at Baltimore, on this fluky punt return. Detroit’s defense has struggled recently, especially against the pass. Detroit is ranked first in run defense DVOA, but is only 16th against the pass, and has been blowtorched by opposing WR1s, especially the last two weeks. The Lions allowed 13 receptions, 227 yards and a touchdown to Dallas’ CeeDee Lamb in Week 17, and 24 receptions, 333 yards and two touchdowns combined to Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson in Weeks 16 and 18.

“Detroit will also have to potentially play without two key offensive players in tight end Sam LaPorta and wide receiver Kalif Raymond. LaPorta suffered a hyperextended knee and bone bruise in the Lions Week 18 victory over Minnesota, and Raymond also left with a knee injury. Both are questionable for Sunday’s matchup.

“Los Angeles head coach Sean McVay has thrived in these situations, carrying a 12-5-2 (70.6%) ATS record as a 3-point or greater road underdog per BetLabs. In the postseason, McVay is 3-1 ATS, with three outright victories. I’m backing the Rams +3, and would not be surprised to see Los Angeles pull the outright upset.”

— Mike Randle, Chief Content Officer at FTN Network

Puka Nacua OVER 76.5 receiving yards (-115)

“Statistically speaking, Nacua had the best season for a rookie wideout in NFL history. He’s in a great spot against Matthew Stafford’s former team. While Nacua is a good bet to see shadow coverage from Cameron Sutton, shadow coverage isn’t always a bad thing. Sutton was roast pork for much of the year, giving up 14.8 yards per catch and a generous 67 percent catch rate in his coverage. The Lions have also given up 100-plus receiving yards to a receiver in four of their last six games.”

— Jeff Ratcliffe, President of FTN